The treasury bond yield is the cornerstone for valuing equities.
Since 87 amid repeated cycles, bond yields had oeaked at progressively lower points.
Reflecting steadily growing optimism that inflation had been squeezed out of the worlds system for good.
1994
In 1994 the Fed began raising rates from 3%
Within a year teh Fed funds rate had doubled to 6%
The 10yr yield rose to a peak above 8% in Nov 94, from 5.74 in Jan.
US stocks were flat in 94 and then went on to their rally.
While this meant severe losses for bond investors the riples brought a series of crises in the world's riskier markets, starting with Mexico.
However todays rise is not a inflation scare as in 94
Histrically 10yr rates have ben 0.8% above the Fed fubnds rate.
The latest data show that Asian central banks havestoped buying bonds but bought equities and corporate bonds instead.
Tuesday, 19 June 2007
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Blog Archive
-
▼
2007
(75)
-
▼
June
(50)
- Securisation
- Financials sector
- Melrose debt financing
- Torex asset sale
- Credit Default Swaps
- Yield curve
- Market
- Banks
- Microsoft new competition
- Shareholder adctivism
- Rising inflation expectation
- US bonds
- Sites
- Widgets
- US Bond Market Outlook
- General
- Inflation and interest rates
- Equities and Bonds
- Who deserves the credit for Germany's recovery?
- Blinkx lc
- Yahoo 2
- Yahoo
- Google/Ebay
- Money
- Corporate broking pitch
- Telecommunication sector
- Scriabin
- Spanish real estate
- France: Sarkozy
- Germany: too bullish?
- China Yuan undervalued, higher Imports
- The Role of the State
- US Option Accounting
- State Capitalism
- Venture Capital
- Inflation
- Carry trade
- Sony PS3
- German Property companies on AIM
- Venture Capital underperforms but more money raised
- Little Change in Private Equity Financing
- Japan long
- Dollar short
- US outlook
- US Government Bond Market
- Outlook for equities
- Oil and bio fuels
- The four pillars supporting risky assets
-
▼
June
(50)
No comments:
Post a Comment